Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.324213 0.384754 0.452392 0.533403 0.627631 0.733610 0.861667
2025-01-26 0.242391 0.322820 0.422355 0.553906 0.722436 0.930258 1.205011
2025-02-02 0.212658 0.307772 0.434404 0.613799 0.859581 1.182415 1.636054
2025-02-09 0.181232 0.281456 0.423367 0.636392 0.944876 1.371517 2.001371
2025-02-16 0.149965 0.248315 0.395534 0.628287 0.982322 1.494688 2.284432
2025-02-23 0.122757 0.215810 0.362487 0.605731 0.992732 1.576342 2.511555
2025-03-02 0.100283 0.186618 0.329507 0.577325 0.988433 1.632422 2.701890
2025-03-09 0.090890 0.177710 0.327596 0.597746 1.062177 1.813539 3.099465
2025-03-16 0.076489 0.157385 0.303232 0.576635 1.063979 1.878478 3.315248
2025-03-23 0.069368 0.149346 0.299161 0.589858 1.124652 2.044044 3.708759
2025-03-30 0.062920 0.141518 0.294262 0.600574 1.181266 2.206579 4.109330
2025-04-06 0.055175 0.129751 0.280191 0.592084 1.201445 2.306467 4.407975
2025-04-13 0.048672 0.119842 0.269023 0.588996 1.233582 2.434450 4.775273
2025-04-20 0.045346 0.116445 0.270767 0.612110 1.318972 2.668107 5.356531
2025-04-27 0.045873 0.121985 0.292026 0.677796 1.494937 3.085689 6.312988
2025-05-04 0.042980 0.118863 0.293955 0.702554 1.590033 3.355848 7.009817
2025-05-11 0.038035 0.109777 0.281216 0.693674 1.614015 3.488523 7.450081
2025-05-18 0.032749 0.098816 0.262527 0.668956 1.601263 3.546004 7.745136
2025-05-25 0.027836 0.087883 0.242251 0.637817 1.570737 3.563733 7.960029
2025-06-01 0.026316 0.086121 0.244397 0.660204 1.662385 3.843526 8.735434
2025-06-08 0.022788 0.077857 0.228745 0.637060 1.646826 3.893242 9.031017
2025-06-15 0.021316 0.075475 0.228174 0.651557 1.720830 4.142533 9.769841
2025-06-22 0.019860 0.072864 0.226617 0.663303 1.789270 4.384564 10.509834